How bad is Tesla’s Q1 results going to be?

As I’ve documented here and elsewhere, things aren’t going well for Tesla regarding new vehicle sales. It would seem that people aren’t thrilled with his involvement in the U.S. government’s destruction of important services and the fascist takeovers he’s trying to encourage around the world. Nazis, as it turns out, just aren’t popular.

But how bad is this first quarter going to be? I think it might be a bloodbath. While I’m not a financial advisor, and you shouldn’t take anything I say as financial advice, some warning signs would make me want to find the lifeboats if I was long on Tesla stock.

First, the stock is down over 50% since its peak in mid-December. It’s lost all of its gains since November 5th, when Donald Trump was elected as President of the United States, thanks in no small part to Elon Musk’s investment and interference. Since Musk’s Sieg Heil salute on January 20th of this year, Tesla is virtually dead in Germany and losing ground all over Europe. Somewhat respectable analysts are predicting a share price of $120 or less.

There are a few things, though, that are even stronger indicators that things are not going well.

Ross Gerber

There was a time that I suspected that Ross Gerber of Gerber Kawasaki was 100% invested only in TSLA. The way he would take to Twitter to pump the stock at any chance he could, beliving everything that Elon Musk says and even taking that and creating elaborate, fantastical futures where Tesla is the dominant player in all walks of life.

Now, he’s publicly asking for Tesla to find a new CEO. He’s lost Gerber, everyone. That’s bad.

The Secretary of Commerce Bump

The Trump Administration’s Secretary of Commerce, Howard Lutnick, leads a firm called Cantor Fitzgerald. Well, he did until he became Commerce Secretary, which is surprising because conflicts of interest are something the Trump administration prides itself on having. Cantor Fitzgerald has upgraded their rating on Tesla to a buy, citing things like a paid robotaxi service that’s to start in Austin in June. Not only do they believe Musk’s gift, but they’re pumping the stock while Tesla stores are literally on fire. That can’t be a good sign.

The White House Sales Pitch

Musk reportedly was in tears in the White House after Tesla lost some 15% in one single day of trading, so President Trump decided to host a gala on the South Lawn promoting Tesla’s lineup. He talked about the $35,000 model that doesn’t exist (well, it sort of does with incentives, but the Trump admin wants to do away with those). He even said he was going to buy a car. Plus, he threatened Tesla protestors with prison time as domestic terrorists.

The bump in the stock market only lasted a day. Even President Trump doesn’t have enough juice to juice this stock.

As I said before, sales are looking bad both domestically and globally. Also, people really hate Elon Musk right now, and even though he claims he’s never harmed anyone and is just trying to better the world on Twitter, people are starting to see through that facade for the real con man that he is. Sales are going to be bad.

But they might be even worse than we think.